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Tuesday, April 3, 2018

CANDLESTICK PATTERNS WITH A MOVING AVERAGE


TRADING RULES FOR CANDLESTICK WITH MOVING AVERAGE

LONG TRADING SETUP

  1. A pullback down to the 20 EMA
  2. A bullish candlestick pattern overlapping with the 20 EMA
  3. Buy as price breaks above the high of the last bar of the candlestick pattern

SHORT TRADING SETUP

  1. A pullback up to the 20 EMA
  2. A bearish candlestick pattern overlapping with the 20 EMA
  3. Buy as price breaks below the low of the last bar of the candlestick pattern

CANDLESTICK PATTERNS WITH MOVING AVERAGE TRADE EXAMPLES

WINNING TRADE – BEARISH ENGULFING

Candlestick Patterns with a Moving Average (Winning Trade)
This is a candlestick chart of EUR/USD forex. We looked out for candlestick patterns with a moving average.
A trade setup came as a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern formed at the 20-period EMA. The next day was a strong bear trend bar. It triggered our sell order at the low of the pattern. This trade followed through quickly.
Look at the top of the chart. After a test of the previous trend high, prices reversed down with strong momentum.
The pullback upwards tested the 20-period EMA and the low of a prior trading range (the blue horizontal line). The bearish engulfing pattern showed strong rejection by these resistances. This trade had the potential to catch the beginning of a new downwards trend.
When trading candlestick patterns with a moving average, you can use the distance between the candlesticks and the EMA to judge the momentum. In this case, the large gap between the candlesticks and the EMA showed the bearish momentum.

LOSING TRADE – BULLISH HARAMI

Candlestick Patterns with a Moving Average (LosingTrade)
This is a daily chart of Marshall & Ilsley Corporation. We saw a bullish harami right on the 20-period EMA. The next day broke the high of the inside bar. We went long but the trade went against us.
A key candlestick principle is to wait for confirmation. Many traders wait for one more candlestick after the pattern for confirmation.
However, waiting for confirmation indiscriminately is not a good idea. This is why my trading rules are to enter upon break of the high or low of the pattern. Of course, for the weaker trading setups, waiting for confirmation is prudent.
Here, we saw clear downwards momentum. Prices also closed below the EMA with ease. Given such strong momentum downwards, it was wiser to wait for bullish confirmation.
The confirmation never came. Hence, an astute trader could have avoided this trade by demanding some signs of returning bulls.

REVIEW – TRADING CANDLESTICK PATTERNS WITH A MOVING AVERAGE

Candlestick patterns are well-defined pieces of price action with clear underlying market concepts. Beginners will find candlestick patterns useful for picking up price action.
Using candlestick patterns with a moving average helps to clarify the trend. It also helps us assess the candlestick patterns better. Hence, combining candlestick patterns with a moving average is a simple yet effective trading approach.
However, candlestick patterns are for clarifying price action.
Do not use them to force rigid interpretation on price bars, give them mystical names, and expect predictable results. Focus on the context, understand the nuances within each pattern, and be flexible when trading them.
Only For Candlestick Enthusiasts: Trading Candlesticks With RSI & The Sakata Method Review.
For more information on trading candlestick patterns with a moving average, take a look at the following:
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