This strategy is a bit different from all the other strategies that I use.
The reason is that it is based more on market psychology rather than
on the institutional activity. I personally use it as a confirmation of
my main (institutional and volume-based) strategies.
Still, it is very
good strategy even if you use it as a standalone strategy.
The main idea behind it is that the markets move in a sort of waves.
The highs/lows of those waves or swings have names (A, B, C, and D).
It goes like this:
- The distance from A to B is the distance from the first to the second swing point.
- The C is made if there is a retrace at least to 50 % to distance from AB. However, the price must not go past A.
- The D is placed the same distance from C as A is from B. Because of this the pattern is called AB = CD. The leg AB has the same pip distance as the leg CD.
- If it is a bullish AB = CD, then you enter a long trade at the D. If it is a bearish AB = CD, then you enter a short position at the D.
To make this more clear, here are bullish and bearish AB = CD schemes:
You can trade this setup basically on all timeframes. I look for this pattern on 30-minute or 1-
hour charts, 4-hour charts, Daily charts and weekly charts. I usually don't look for this pattern
on lower timeframes than 30-minute timeframes.
Best thing to measure the distances between the swing points is with the Fibonacci tool. First,
you place the Fibonacci so that 0 % is at A and 100 % is at B. Then you make sure the C is more
than 50 % of this distance. After that, you move the fib tool (without changing the measured
distance) so the 0 % is at C. The 100 % of the Fibonacci will show you where D is (this is the
place where you enter your trade).
This is how you find the D in two steps:
Step 1: Use the Fibonacci to significant swing points making A and B and finding C below 50 %
(in case of a Bearish AB=CD):
Step 2: Place the 0 % to C. Don’t change the measured AB distance. This way you will find the
D which is at 100 %. From this place (D) you will enter a short trade:
Here are some real trade examples of the AB = CD pattern:
Bullish AB = CD (EUR/USD, 60-minute timeframe)
Bearish AB = CD (EUR/USD, 240-minute timeframe)
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